Why ISIS would fail
Suddenly we are confronted with a self declared Islamic state, taking over, quit quick yes, parts of Iraq and Syria and threatening the world through kidnappings, horrible and graphic medieval killing and torture methods, and pulling western individuals and African groups as Boko Haram into their spell.
To start with, the group started off in 1999 as the so called Jama'at al-Tawhid wal-Jihad , which was later renamed to Tanzim Qaidat al-Jihad fi Bilad al-Rafidayn, also known known as al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI). In 2004 the group pledged allegiance to al-Quaida. Titled Jama'at and later AQI, the group, starting from August 2003, engaged in the Iraqi insurgency which was followed by the March 2003 invasion of Iraq. In January 2006, it joined further Sunni insurgent groups to form the Mujahideen Shura Council, which in October 2006 proclaimed the formation of the Islamic State of Iraq (ISI). ISI gained a significant presence in Al Anbar Governorate, Diyala Governorate and Baghdad Governorate. (Links sourced from Wikipedia)
Of course ISIS is digging its own grave, and that not entirely by hitting and hurting nearly everybody. Not only other religions or Atheists, LGBT's, women and other Muslim streams, but by deliberately destroying history and protected artifacts under UNESCO. In Mosul, they demolished the more than valuable remaining statues of famous historians and poets. The ISIS leaders had declared them has false idols. History belongs to all of us, and with this, ISIS is openly attacking the entire globe and its legacies. A media propaganda and provocation that can never be excused.
Furthermore, more than 60 countries are directly or indirectly involved in the intervention against ISIS. Jordan has dramatically shown what it can do , after the burning alive of the pilot Maas al-Kassasbeh. After just a few days they had bombed down one fifth of the terror groups capacities.
Militant weakness is another issue ISIS is struggling with, because it mainly succeeded where people were weak, and Iraq's military had to deal with soldiers defecting from their duty, laming the troupes opposing ISIS.
Till recent, ISIS was able to rely and build on certain Arabic tribes and Sunni revolutionists. These had formally served under Saddam Hussein. Sunnis, had long time to deal with discrimination under the Shiite regime, and were now ready for revenge. Meantime, Iraq is lead by a moderate premier called Haider al-Abadi. His moderate tone had succeeded in bringing both Sunnis and Shiites back to one table. For the first time, Sunnis were engaged against ISIS, and ISIS were losing an important ally.
ISIS is also weakening through internal conflicts and casualties. Till now it is said that 8500 men have died. Under the dead are also leaders and trusted men from ISIS chief al-Bagdadi. Since oil fields had been bombarded, that secured millions of dollar income for the terror group, finances are starting to dry out.
Religious delusions of grandeur, is maybe the best to describe the crusade in the name of the Muslim god Allah. With lashings, beheading, horror executions and tortures, they try to force the Islamic law of Sharia on the areas they have conquered. The are fighting a medieval war, a battle that stands no ground and slightest reason in the 21st century.
Basically and again; they are fighting the world, claiming that their actions will lead to a religious paradise and the final day of judgment is bound to come, because they, and only they say so.
By Thomas Fleckner
Comments powered by CComment